1Demonstration 1 of 5
Watch a small change become a large response
Does a 10% input increase imply exactly a 50% response increase?
Compare the curved exact response with the straight first-order estimate. Look at the numerical error before accepting the shortcut.
Fractional input increase. Positive base, fifth-power response. The approximation needs a tolerance and a sufficiently small change.
Predict first. Does a 10% input increase imply exactly a 50% response increase?
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Constructed teaching inputs; calculations executed locally. Supported menu choices are precomputed.
Calculated values
- Exact multiplier
- 1.61051
- Linear estimate
- 1.5
- Absolute error
- 0.11051
An input increase of 10% gives 1.61051, versus 1.5 from linearization. Judge the 0.11051 error against your tolerance.
Use the idea
Use rule 1.1.3 when its stated conditions fit. Compare the calculation with your own decision threshold; retain the relevant error or uncertainty.
Where the conclusion applies
Positive base, fifth-power response. The approximation needs a tolerance and a sufficiently small change.
Check your understanding: Does a 10% input increase imply exactly a 50% response increase?
Book source: Rule 1.1.3: Linearize a small binomial perturbation. Demonstration C01-D01. Worked illustration.
2Demonstration 2 of 5
Price the omitted geometric tail
Is the first omitted term a reliable tail estimate when r=.9?
Compare the first omitted term with the whole omitted tail. Their ratio stays constant for a fixed r.
Geometric ratio r. Displayed positive ratios below one. The infinite tail formula fails at r=1.
Predict first. Is the first omitted term a reliable tail estimate when r=.9?
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Constructed teaching inputs; calculations executed locally. Supported menu choices are precomputed.
Calculated values
- Ratio r
- 0.5
- Tail from r^5 onward
- 0.0625
- Tail / first term
- 2
The tail starting at r^5 equals r^5/(1-r). At r=0.5, its multiplier over the first omitted term is 2; a ratio near one makes the tail much larger.
Use the idea
Use rule 1.2.2 when its stated conditions fit. Compare the calculation with your own decision threshold; retain the relevant error or uncertainty.
Where the conclusion applies
Displayed positive ratios below one. The infinite tail formula fails at r=1.
Check your understanding: Is the first omitted term a reliable tail estimate when r=.9?
Book source: Rule 1.2.2: Estimate a geometric tail from its first omitted term. Demonstration C01-D02. Worked illustration.
3Demonstration 3 of 5
See roots appear at a discriminant boundary
What changes at b=2?
The parabola crosses, touches, or misses the horizontal axis as its discriminant changes sign.
Linear coefficient b. Real coefficients; the count refers to distinct real roots, with the repeated root identified separately.
Predict first. What changes at b=2?
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Constructed teaching inputs; calculations executed locally. Supported menu choices are precomputed.
Calculated values
- Discriminant
- 0
- Real root count
- 1
- Vertex x
- -1
The discriminant b²-4 is 0. This gives one repeated real root.
Use the idea
Use rule 1.3.4 when its stated conditions fit. Compare the calculation with your own decision threshold; retain the relevant error or uncertainty.
Where the conclusion applies
Real coefficients; the count refers to distinct real roots, with the repeated root identified separately.
Check your understanding: What changes at b=2?
Book source: Rule 1.3.4: Use the discriminant to triage quadratic roots. Demonstration C01-D03. Worked illustration.
4Demonstration 4 of 5
Check the rule of 70 for doubling time
At 7% per year, does money double in exactly 10 years?
The rule of 70 turns a growth rate into a doubling time with one division. The chart shows how its error drifts as the rate grows.
Growth rate per period. Constant compound growth once per period. 70 comes from 100 ln 2 for continuous growth.
Predict first. At 7% per year, does money double in exactly 10 years?
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Constructed teaching inputs; calculations executed locally. Supported menu choices are precomputed.
Calculated values
- Rate per period (%)
- 7
- Exact doubling time (periods)
- 10.2448
- Rule-of-70 estimate (periods)
- 10
- Estimate error (periods)
- -0.244768
At 7% per period the exact doubling time is 10.24 periods; the rule of 70 says 10. Good enough for mental arithmetic.
Use the idea
Use rule 1.1.2 when its stated conditions fit. Compare the calculation with your own decision threshold; retain the relevant error or uncertainty.
Where the conclusion applies
Constant compound growth once per period. 70 comes from 100 ln 2 for continuous growth.
Check your understanding: At 7% per year, does money double in exactly 10 years?
Book source: Rule 1.1.2: Estimate doubling time from the exponential rate. Demonstration C01-D04. Worked illustration.
5Demonstration 5 of 5
Check the denominator sign before cross-multiplying
Is x=1 a solution of (x+1)/(x−3)≤0?
Cross-multiplying by x−3 without a sign check gives x+1≤0, that is x≤−1. The sign chart gives the true answer. Pick a test point and compare the two verdicts.
Test point x. Real x with x≠3. Multiplying an inequality by a negative quantity reverses it.
Predict first. Is x=1 a solution of (x+1)/(x−3)≤0?
Choose an example
Constructed teaching inputs; calculations executed locally. Supported menu choices are precomputed.
Calculated values
- Test x
- 1
- (x+1)/(x-3)
- -1
- Truly satisfies
- yes
- Naive x ≤ -1 says
- no
At x=1 the fraction equals -1, so the inequality is true. Cross-multiplying without a sign check gives x+1 ≤ 0, which says false. They disagree because x<3 makes the denominator negative, which reverses the inequality.
Use the idea
Use rule 1.3.7 when its stated conditions fit. Compare the calculation with your own decision threshold; retain the relevant error or uncertainty.
Where the conclusion applies
Real x with x≠3. Multiplying an inequality by a negative quantity reverses it.
Check your understanding: Is x=1 a solution of (x+1)/(x−3)≤0?
Book source: Rule 1.3.7: Cross-multiply inequalities only after checking signs. Demonstration C01-D05. Worked illustration.
Bring the idea to a question of your own
Choose the relationship that answers your question, check its conditions, and compare the result with the accuracy or decision threshold you need.
The chapter skill can adapt these calculations to your inputs. It should name the assumptions, explain what the result supports, and say what still needs evidence. The chapter workbook adds a lab and three exercises with answers.